via AP

The Golden State Warriors were the best team in the NBA culminating in a championship, but talks of repeating and dynasty are premature. They finished with the 3rd best overall record in NBA history (including the playoffs) and Head Coach Steve Kerr has been a part of all 3 of those teams as a player and now a coach. Take nothing away from the Warriors.

What they did in the regular season by having the best overall offense and defense is unheard of. But if you look deeper into how they did it, there’s reasons to doubt it can happen again. Here are 3 theories why Golden State may have peaked:

1) The Perfect Storm: In order to win the title, you have to be healthy. Golden State was just that. Their competition was just the opposite. It’s not their fault Mike Conley (Memphis Grizzlies) was hurt or Cleveland was basically LeBron James against the world, but it’s a fact. The Warriors also avoided the San Antonio Spurs, Los Angeles Clippers and a healthy Cavs team mentioned above. You need some luck in order to be the champs, but for as much trouble Cleveland gave them severly hobbled, Golden State isn’t as invincible as once thought.

2) Free Agency: Immediately after the Warriors won it all, talk went towards the offseason. David Lee has already begun packing his bags as both sides agree it’s time to move on. Draymond Green wants to be back, but he will get multiple offers to leave and it’s up to the Warriors if they want to match and go into the luxury tax. Andrew Bogut (expendable), Shaun Livingston (tradable contract), Marreese Speights (team option) and Leandro Barbosa (UFA) are all key pieces who could not be back next season. Assuming they trade Lee and re-sign Green, most of their payroll will be consumed by Draymond and 4 players: Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Andre Igoudala and Bogut. That doesn’t leave much room for anything but mid-level and veteran minimum contracts. The biggest caveat is since Golden State is so young, most of their top players are in their prime. That means they want to capitalize financially on their next contract during their peak playing days. Rarely is there room on one team for more than 2-3 max contracts.

3) Size: Cleveland pounded the Warriors on the boards as an undermanned unit, can you imagine what teams like the Clippers, Spurs and Grizzlies could do to them at full force? Bogut and Festus Ezeli are Golden State’s only big men who play back-to-the-basket so when they go “small” they can be beat if you slow the game down. Everyone expected the Warriors to sweep Cleveland after Kyrie Irving went down in Game 1 and if he didn’t and Kerr didn’t insert Iguodala into the starting lineup in Game 4 the series could have ended differently. Small ball may be the trend in the NBA, but size still matters. Great big men are still coveted and although popular belief is big men clog the lane, they actually open up the perimeter for 3 point shooters. Most dynasties in the NBA center around great big men who can score in the post and defend the paint. The NBA is slowly trending back to those days.

The Golden State Warriors will continue to be contenders for years to come, but their early success will unlikely translate to multiple championships. Luck, free agency and size play a huge role in repeating as champions and in the Warriors’ case their luck may have run out.

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